05 March 2008

Wednesday Morning, 4:30 a.m.

As of this minute, the news is that Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island, while Obama took Vermont.

As for the delegate counts -->

                               Clinton    Obama    Remainder to be awarded

Vermont -- FINAL --        6           9

Rhode Island - FINAL -    13           8

Ohio                            71          57            13

Texas                          78          70            45

Totals                        168         144           58

Previous Hard Count    1042        1202

New Soft Count          1210        1346

The demographics out of Ohio are devastatingly terrifying.  

Hillary Clinton's campaign has done something NO OTHER Democratic campaign I can think of has done. (And yes, I know if I'm wrong, I'll hear from y'all) -- she used fear, lies, duplicity, and chicanery AGAINST A FELLOW DEMOCRAT. She undertook actions which make the Republican opponent stronger no matter whether she or Obama wins the nomination. She is running as if she wants to be McCain's veep choice instead of his competitor. It is offensive on every level.

I know a contingent of you are Clinton supporters, and that's certainly your right. Some of you believe the process should play out because as convoluted as it is, the process is what it is.

But we'll see what happens over the next few days. Will the party elders come out and say "for the good of the party....go back to the Senate Hillary"?? Will Florida and Michigan reschedule primaries? Probably not.

So -- I'm coming live to you from the final battleground. We here in Pennsylvania should have been an unimportant footnote in a battle which is now internecine warfare. No fractured party has ever gone on to win the presidency. The final Texas delegate count will end up being closer than the numbers at this hour indicate -- and may even end up being an Obama win.

The Ohio numbers will be closer, but will still be a minimum +5 win for Clinton. The demographics out of Ohio are an incredibly uneducated electorate (high school diplomas rule), very low median income (compared to general US numbers), something like the 2nd or 3rd highest unemployment rate in the US, large senior population and 80% white. These are what is generally referred to by most people as "Reagan Democrats". This is the group that McCain can most easily take from ANY Democrat in the general. The people that McCain cannot get -- intelligent, educated, well-compensated, white liberals -- the people he can NEVER get -- those are the Obama voters. And they've left Ohio. Sure, Obama got another group McCain can't get -- but blacks are a falling percentage of the electorate.

I for one, don't want to see 100 more years of war, a $500 billion dollar defense budget, an Iranian invasion, the continuation of the Bush tax cuts, a human life amendment, judges that make Alito look competent, and Scalia look liberal, a full depression (as in, Ohio thinks it has it bad now with 6.4% unemployment, imagine how they'd feel if it went back to the 80% it was when FDR took office), the continuation of government-by-lobbyist, and ANOTHER president with no respect for the Constitution.

But that's what we're heading for. Unless the forces of truth, right and light can prevail here in the Keystone state.

Go home Hillary, your party needs you. In the Senate. Hopefully this time voting AGAINST war.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

A simple desultory philippic. The truly frightening aspect is she will see that her negative tactics worked ad continue them.

Our Obama signs arrived yesterday. They go out in the yard today!

DocJess said...

Tim --

What state were the signs delivered to? Just curious -- I couldn't find any info on your blog about your whereabouts, although I loved your picture, and what you did to the Hillary photo.....

Jessica